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Toronto retail real estate update featuring Yorkville and Yorkdale

Well, we just lived through the majority of the year with COVID-19 and most of us are still working from home. Surely the commercial real estate market has imploded. Not so fast, you will note  that sales volumes are not too far off pre-COVID levels.  

As a market participant, you are likely aware that the office market is suffering a high volume of office sublet space while the brick and mortar side of the retail market is struggling to get back on its feet. So you might be surprised to learn that one of the highest dollar sales was found in the office sector while the retail sector recorded 130 sales over the quarter, outpacing all of the  other sectors surveyed in this report.  

Much like we medically know far more today about COVID than we did in March, the real estate market also has had some time to  contemplate life moving forward and, as of this writing, investors are moving ahead with deals. The one thing that is similar to the second quarter is the buyer profile continues to be led by private investors, in most cases. 

So how did we make out? In the office  sector there were 33 sales in excess of $1 million while we recorded 34 in Q2. Also like  the last quarter, we note only 7 sales more  than $10 million while we posted 8 in Q2.  The difference is the dollar value of the high  

dollar sale. Where we could only muster a  high of $39,375,000 last time around, the  winner this quarter came in at $78,500,000  with the sale of 277 Wellington Street  West by Triovest to Reserve Properties  and Westdale. Other than a sale in the $27  million range, the remainder of the high dollar  transactions were in the $10-15 million range. 

Retail Sector

We stated earlier that the retail sector wins the award in providing the high score  of transaction volume against our other  participants in this report. That’s really the  highlight as only 9 properties traded over  $10 million with the high dollar sale being  located at 3080 and 3120 Dufferin Street for $30 million. It should be outlined that  this was for a car dealership and not your  garden variety community centre. To make  matters worse, the next high dollar sale was, you guessed it, another car dealership  located at 2375 Wyecroft Road in Oakville.  Both properties were operating as Toyota  dealerships at the time of sale if you’re  looking for conspiracy theories in the results. 

Industrial improves its sales performance  from the previous quarter, notching 121  sales against 85 transactions last Spring.  These sales volumes, though down from  average quarters, are not too much off  pace. There were 20 sales in excess of  $10 million with the high dollar sale coming  in at $30 million, just $2 million shy of last  quarters topper. The property in question  is in Etobicoke at 75-77 Fima Crescent, a  214,518 square foot facility. We note a sharp  increase in high dollar sales this quarter in  comparison to Q2 where we only saw 8  transactions over $10 million at that time  versus 20 transactions in Q3 exceeding that mark. Industrial remains the darling in the commercial real estate sector as many  companies learned from the outset of the pandemic that not having an online presence  put your business in great peril so demand is  exceeding supply with no relief in rental rates 

We rebounded to normal sales volumes  in the High-Rise Land sector this quarter  where 50 trades were put up on the board,  18 of which exceeded $10 million in value.  In Q2, only 32 properties changed hands.  We suspect the brakes were put on when  the pandemic took hold. Over the last  quarter, there has been good intel on the  residential market. Several sales centre  openings saw great success, selling out  beyond 75% in most cases and with selling  prices showing no discount, if not even  higher, than before the went into lockdown.  A good example is Alterra’s planned  development on Eastern Avenue, hardly  a tony neighbourhood at the moment yet  selling units at over $1,200 per square foot.  Compare this to your friends trying to re-sell  their existing units with barely a soul taking an  interest while inventory continues to rise. 

It is in this sector that we note the highest  dollar sales with two transactions exceeding  $80 million with the winner being located at 3450 Dufferin St. at $86.5 million for 5.089 acres of dirt. Next down the list was the sale of 13.766 acres at 429 Lake Shore Blvd. E. and 324 Cherry St. for just over $83 million. 

Retail Sales

It is quite phenomenal that we report 130  sales this quarter yet only 9 could stretch  over the $10 million wall. Retail has not  shown much bench strength over the last  few years, rarely having any “whoa” moments  with respect to high dollar sales values.  So maybe we shouldn’t be concerned with  the results as it’s more business as usual in  terms of both sales volumes and high dollar  sales. Franky, this writer thought the results  would have been far worse although  investing in commercial real estate may be  a smarter investment than the volatility of  the stock market.  

As outlined in our opening remarks, the two  high dollar sales pertained to automobile  dealerships. The first one that we review is  located at 3080 and 3120 Dufferin Street,  just north of Lawrence Avenue. The property  was purchased by the tenant, Yorkdale  Toyota from a numbered company for $30  million. The site measures 3.167 acres  and is improved with a 26,600 square foot  dealership. The site also included a Harvey’s  fast-food restaurant measuring 3,200 square  feet where, if you act now, you can pick up  a Signature Poutine for only $4.99!  An interesting note on this transaction – the  vendor acquired these holdings in 2018 for a  total price of just $9,750,000. The occupants  at the time of this sale were the same as  those found in the 2020 sale.

We turn to our first retail centre sale in  this section where we review 4820–4830  Sheppard Avenue East. The site is improved  with a 19,797 square foot development,  transacted between two private investors.  The selling price was $12,569,600 or  $635 per square foot. The net income was  reported as $497,000, offering a return of  3.9%. This sale was part of a portfolio of  two properties with the purchaser acquiring  the neighbouring property at 4800-4810  Sheppard Avenue East for $26,710,000  from the vendor. This is a 62,534 square foot  industrial building that we will discuss further  in our next section. 

Here we go again, the next sale pertains to,  yup, another car dealership. This one is also  located in Mississauga but is an investment sale. The vendor was Cloverbrae Investments  Limited who sold their holding occupied by  Erinwood Ford to Morguard Investments  Limited. The dealership is located at 2395  Motorway Boulevard and is improved with a  45,391 square foot building. The selling price  was $12 million or $264 per square foot.  Erinwood Ford was paying an annual rent of  $480,000 at the time of sale, resulting in a  4% cap rate going in.

We have one more $12 million sale and it’s  a user acquisition. Empire Communities sold  to Kingsway College School twenty-one  condominium units measuring 28,300 square  feet for a value of $424 per square foot.  The property is located at 2181 Lake Shore  Boulevard West near Park Lawn Road. 

Our last high dollar sale is NOT an auto  dealership. This time we see another Yorkville neighbourhood sale with Scollard Investments Inc. selling 91-93 Scollard St. to The Brand Factory — a three-storey plus basement holding for $10.5 million or $686 per square foot. The building measures  15,311 square feet and was vacant at the time of sale. The property was listed in May for $11 million and sold and closed in 60 days with strong market interest during the  marketing period. 

This writer gasped when he wrote about  the Cumberland Avenue sale at $3,125 per  square foot. Well, there were quite a few  sales worth noting that exceeded $1,000  per square foot that we’ll examine in this  space. Firstly, at 13 St. Clair Avenue West,  GTL 13 Properties Corp. acquired from  Minic Investments Limited their 3,600  square foot building for $8 million or  $2,222 per square foot. The building is fully  occupied by Pizzaiolo.  

Moving south, two private investors  transacted the sale of 654 Yonge Street for  $6,700,000. The building measures 3,550  square feet, resulting in a value of $1,887  per square foot. The building was partially  occupied by the Shoe Market.  

North of Yonge and Eglinton, KPMR  Investments Inc. acquired 2485 Yonge  Street for $2.8 million from a private owner.  The building measures 1,700 square feet  providing a value of $1,647 per square foot.  The vendor provided a leaseback for a period  of two years, offering a 2.8% cap rate to  the purchaser. This property is part of an  assembly being undertaken by the purchaser  which would have influenced the selling price  in the transaction. 

Lastly, we look at 442 Queen Street West,  a popular area in the city with its eclectic mix  of national and local tenants. The building  was sold by a private investor for $2.8  million to another private buyer. The building  measures 2,072 square feet on two floors,  indicating a value of $1,351 per square foot.  As we have noted in a number of instances,  the property was only on the market a short  time, in this case 30 days. It had been listed  at $2,990,000. The commercial space was  vacant at the time of sale.

Similar to the second quarter, we up the ante by almost 20 this quarter to 50 highrise sales transactions, in other words, back to normal volumes, at least for now. 

The value of the transactions also has a very similar tone to activity prior to COVID, noting five sales in excess of $25 million within the 18 sales in excess of $10 million. 

Turning to the top high dollar sale, the location of this transaction was not in the usual neighbourhoods of King West or Yorkville. The property in question is 3450 Dufferin St., across from Yorkdale mall. This 5.09-acre site was improved with a hotel that was  owned by Easton’s Group of Hotels Inc. The purchaser was a team which includes Timbercreek, Fitrovia Real Estate and AimCo. The selling price was $86.5 million or $95  per square foot buildable. The proposed development was approved at the time of  sale and permits 909,174 square feet of  development with 1,044 residential units, 255 hotel suites and 3,681 square feet of  retail space. 

Cityzen Group acquired from Home Depot, 324 Cherry St. and 429 Lake Shore Blvd. E. for $83,181,320 for 13.766 acres of land. At the time of sale, an application to develop 2,517,033 square feet of space was planned in a mixed-use project of residential and commercial uses to be located within seven blocks. If approved, the  selling price equates to $33 per development will see 58,491 square feet constructed in a 13-storey, 34-unit building. Based upon the selling price, the property achieved a rather healthy value of $325 per square foot.

Madison Group purchased 114 Church St. for $18,659,136, receiving 0.227 acres of land for their effort. The vendor was Emeth Holdings Limited and Har-Ru Holdings Limited. This property gets added into the  assembly undertaken by Madison Group in  this area as they previously purchased 114 Church St. and 59 Richmond St. E. in April. The combined area of the assembly is 0.442 acres and they have invested $46,909,136 to date. Madison has applied to construct a 402,414-square-foot building on site measuring 45 storeys and housing 479 proposed units. If approved, the site has a value of $117 per square foot buildable. 

Toronto Community Housing closed another deal with Daniels Corporation in the Gerrard Street East and Parliament Street area this quarter. The site measures 2.039 acres and sold for $17,751,910. At the time of sale, no application for redevelopment had been tendered. 

As part of a receivership sale, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice sold 189 Dundas St. W. in Mississauga to Augend 189 Dundas West Village Properties for $16,675,000 for 3.486 acres of land. There has been no application for development as of this writing. 

Freed Developments sold 71 Talara Dr. near Bayview and Highway 401 to Tribute Communities for $15,700,000. The site measures 0.733 acres. There was no development application tendered prior to or after the sale. 

Emblem Developments purchased 244 King St. E. to add to their assembly in the area for $15,041,502 for 0.119 acres. The vendor was a private, numbered  company who purchased the property in 2019 for only $4.4 million. Emblem also acquired two other properties this quarter located at 248-250 King St. E. and 246 King St. E. The combined area of the  assembled properties equals 0.169 acres and they have invested $22,192,953 so far. No applications have been submitted for redevelopment. 

Closing remarks

Let’s hope we don’t lose the momentum  that the market has shown this quarter. Yes, buyers are waiting with bated breath for the fall but that will likely coincide with lenders heading for the exits. Having worked through  the 1990s recession you should be careful what you wish for, it’s not pretty.